| National Weather Service Forecast for:
6 Miles SE Creedmoor NC Issued by: National Weather Service Raleigh, NC |
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| Updated: 1:26 am EDT May 19, 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Wake Forest, NC | ||||||||||||||||||
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| Overnight |
Cloudy, with a low around 60. Northeast wind around 5 mph. |
| Sunday |
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Northeast wind around 8 mph. |
| Sunday Night |
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 56. Light northeast wind. |
| Monday |
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Northeast wind 3 to 8 mph. |
| Monday Night |
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind. |
| Tuesday |
Sunny, with a high near 82. |
| Tuesday Night |
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. |
| Wednesday |
Sunny, with a high near 86. |
| Wednesday Night |
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. |
| Thursday |
A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Thursday Night |
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Friday |
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
| Friday Night |
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
| Saturday |
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 6 Miles SE Creedmoor NC.
597 FXUS62 KRAH 190550 AFDRAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 150 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move south across southern NC and SC Sunday morning. High pressure will follow and extend across the southern Middle Atlantic through Tuesday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 930 PM Saturday... Surface observations as of 01z show a sharp theta-e gradient from north to south as a front extending from near Charlotte eastward towards Fayetteville and just south of Clinton and separates temperatures in the mid 70s to the south from low/mid 60s to the north. Regional radar shows mostly showers and isolated storms along the front with trailing stratiform precipitation back into cooler air behind the front. This front is expected to sag south through 04/05z and shift the lingering instability and associated showers and storms out of the area while stratiform rain and an isolated rumble of thunder may linger for a few more hours into the night. A compact 500mb shortwave visible in WV imagery over the lower Tennessee Valley will slowly pivot east-southeast and support continued showers along the front through the night, but should mostly be south of the forecast area. Areas of low overcast may continue to lower through the night and lead to some patchy fog, most likely in the northern Coastal Plain into portions of the Northeast Piedmont. Expansive low cloud cover will keep over night temperatures relatively steady through the night behind the front with lows in to low 60s to upper 50s. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 220 PM Saturday... By Sunday morning, surface low pressure should be off the NC/SC coast with a positively tilted upper trough axis extending across the Delmarva Peninsula through North Carolina into northern Georgia. Both the surface low and the upper trough will move east through the daytime, with the trough axis near the Atlantic coastline by the evening. High-resolution and synoptic models have continued the trend from the last couple days of showing drier conditions overall. It now appears that locations north of US-64 should be dry through the day, with a slight chance of showers to the south of that and a chance of thunderstorms along the southernmost border. Any precipitation should come to an end by the evening, with dry conditions overnight. The upper trough will help to keep conditions mostly cloudy through the morning, then at least some partial clearing will occur during the afternoon. Northeasterly flow should occur through the day, becoming lighter overnight, but the cold advection on the backside of the surface low should make Sunday the coolest day out of the next seven. Some locations across the northeast should remain in the upper 60s, but otherwise highs will be in the lower 70s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 134 PM Saturday... Monday through Wednesday: Aloft, the trough should be offshore, with the sub-tropical ridge building from the southern plains to the Northeast US early Mon. While the trough should linger off the mid- Atlantic coast through Wed night, the ridge will shift slightly sewd, extending from the lower MS Valley to the mid-Atlantic by 12Z Wed. The ridge axis will generally remain over the area through at least Wed night, albeit continuing to drift sewd. At the surface, the ridge will remain in place through Mon night, while the low sits/drifts eastward offshore. The surface high will settle south over the mid-Atlantic coast through Tue before drifting eastward over the Atlantic, but continuing to ridge westward toward/into the area, on Wed. A warm front may lift northward through the area Wed as the high moves away, with a lee trough strengthening over the area Wed night. While Mon should be largely dry, there is still the possibility for a brief period of lingering light rain early. Otherwise, the forecast through Wed night is currently dry. As for temperatures, there some continued uncertainty in highs on Mon, but for now expect low/mid 70s east to upper 70s west. Lows should generally be in the low to mid 50s Mon night. Expect temperatures to moderate through mid-week. Thursday onward: A northern stream low will track enewd through the western Great Lakes and into Ontario Canada Wed/Thu. The ridge will be suppressed sewd Thu/Fri as a s/w tracks from the mid-MS Valley, enewd into the northern mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. This wave may briefly amplify the larger scale trough over the Northeast and mid- Atlantic Thu night/Fri. There is the potential for showers/storms across the area with this disturbance Thu/Thu night. Meanwhile, another s/w will move through the southern/central Plains Thu, through the mid-MS Valley Thu night/Fri, then enewd through the Appalachians Fri/Fri night. There are still some timing/location difference between the medium-range model solutions, so those details remain unclear. However, there will be another chance for showers/storms with this system if/when it track through the mid- Atlantic/Carolinas Fri/Sat. Expect continued near to above normal temperatures through Sat. && .AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 150 AM Sunday... Widespread, generally IFR ceilings throughout cntl NC this morning will lift through MVFR after 14-15Z and scatter to VFR from northwest to southeast - first at INT/GSO and latest at FAY. Looking ahead: After a return to VFR conditions this afternoon, lingering boundary layer moisture could result in sub-VFR cigs again late tonight and Mon nights. Otherwise, expect largely VFR conditions Mon through Wed. The next chance for sub-VFR conditions will be Thu/Thu night with cold front and associated chance of showers and storms. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...MWS NEAR TERM...Swiggett SHORT TERM...Green LONG TERM...KC AVIATION...MWS/KC
