| National Weather Service Forecast for:
Topsail Beach NC Issued by: National Weather Service Wilmington, NC |
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| Updated: 12:26 am EDT May 19, 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Topsail+Beach, NC | ||||||||||||||||||
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| Overnight |
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 4am and 5am. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Northwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
| Sunday |
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
| Sunday Night |
A slight chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northeast wind around 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
| Monday |
Partly sunny, with a high near 72. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. |
| Monday Night |
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. |
| Tuesday |
Sunny, with a high near 73. |
| Tuesday Night |
Mostly clear, with a low around 65. |
| Wednesday |
Sunny, with a high near 77. |
| Wednesday Night |
Mostly clear, with a low around 69. |
| Thursday |
Sunny, with a high near 80. |
| Thursday Night |
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
| Friday |
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Friday Night |
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Saturday |
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Topsail Beach NC.
824 FXUS62 KILM 190212 AFDILM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1012 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A front will push off the coast tonight, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms continuing into Sunday. Cooler and drier air will move into the area on Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will warm by mid-week, and no precipitation is expected. A weakening cold front will approach the region Thursday night, bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday. && .UPDATE... No major changes from the ongoing forecast with this update. A composite front/outflow boundary continues to sag southward with showers and storms popping up and pushing eastward. As remnant surface-based instability is lifted along the boundary, expect showers and a few thunderstorms to remain possible across the region through tonight. However, continued nocturnal cooling should reduce instability enough to keep only scattered shower activity in play for the Pee Dee and Grand Strand areas. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... Energy in the mid levels of the atmosphere will interact with a frontal boundary and warm, moist air over the area to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly this afternoon and evening. The front will drop south through the area late tonight into Sunday, reducing but not eliminating chances for rain for Sunday. Lows tonight will fall to the mid 60s with highs Sunday in the low to mid 70s. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... A cold front will shift off the coast, and scattered showers are possible along the coastal counties through midnight. Cool, dry, high pressure will build over the area on Monday. Monday`s high temperatures will be in the upper to lower 70s. Lows on Sunday night will be in the upper 50s, and on Monday night, they will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... High pressure will remain over the regions Tuesday through Thursday. A cold front will move into the Carolinas on Thursday and to the eastern half of the Carolinas on Friday. This front will dissipate over the area on Saturday. Chances of showers and thunderstorms will begin Thursday afternoon, mainly west of Interstate 95, before chances increase across the entire region on Friday and Saturday. As the week progresses, we can anticipate a gradual increase in temperatures. On Tuesday, highs are expected to reach the lower 80s inland and the upper 70s along the beaches. This warming trend will continue from Wednesday to Saturday, with highs climbing to the mid- to upper 80s inland and the lower 80s at the beaches. Low temperatures will slowly rise from the lower 60s Tuesday night to 67 to 70 degrees along the coast. && .AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... VFR conditions this evening are expected to deteriorate from north to south as a cold front sags into the area, bringing IFR to potentially LIFR cigs to all terminals overnight. The northern terminals (ILM and LBT) are also expected to see transient MVFR to IFR vis restrictions in passing showers/storms as convection over central NC drifts southward, with LIFR possible in the heaviest rain. This convection is expected to weaken and gradually dissipate as nocturnal cooling decreases instability, so the further south terminals (FLO, CRE, MYR) should only see passing showers if the precipitation band makes it. Otherwise, expect IFR to LIFR cigs to persist into tomorrow morning with a very gradual lifting of cigs into the MVFR range expected through the end of the period. Extended Outlook...Cig restrictions may continue through Sunday night before VFR takes over during the day on Monday. VFR should otherwise prevail with early morning vis or cig restrictions possible each day through the end of the period. && .MARINE... Through Sunday: Southwest winds to 10 KT or less will become west late tonight and N to NE at 10 to 15 KT Sunday. Seas of 2 to 3 FT tonight will continue into Sunday. Sunday Night Through Friday: A cold front will shift east of the waters on Sunday night, and high pressure will build over the waters through Thursday. On Friday, a cold front will approach eastern North Carolina. Winds are expected to increase to 15 to 20 knots Sunday night into Monday before the pressure gradient weakens by Monday afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed on Monday, with the best chances in the waters south of Murrells Inlet, highlighting the need for caution. Seas are expected to increase to 2 to 4 feet on Sunday night into Monday before diminishing to 2 feet by Thursday. && .ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...ILM UPDATE...ABW NEAR TERM...31 SHORT TERM...RH LONG TERM...RH AVIATION...ABW MARINE...RH/31
